Navar Saban, a military analyst at the Omran Center for Strategic Studies in Istanbul, said an imminent operation is unlikely, due to the increasing cost of a military move.
“Logistically speaking, it doesn’t make sense to launch another operation in an area that has this many complexities, including a Russian presence, Daesh cells and Syrian regime operations. Even if they win, it will bear significant costs for troops on the ground because of security problems in northwestern Afrin and northwestern Idlib provinces,” he told Arab News.
However, Saban also said the visit is unlikely to be random.
“It is for coordination on the ground to manage clashes with different actors. But it wouldn’t trigger a new operation in the short term,” he said.
This report examines, in numbers and charts, the developments in the northern region of Syria after the commencement of operation “Peace Spring" by the Turkish military and the Syrian National Army (SNA). The report highlights the following points:
|Province Area km2||Regime Forces||Joint area (Regime & SDF)||SDF||Opposition Forces (SNA)||HTS|
|M4 Length (Km)||Regime Forces||Joint area (Regime & SDF)||SDF||Opposition Forces (SNA)||HTS|
|Province||Between||Local Forces||International Influence||Crossing situation|
|Yarubiyah||Al-Hassaka||Syria-Kurdistan (Iraq)||SDF||USA||Open (Aid- US military)|
|Simalka||Al-Hassaka||Syria-Kurdistan (Iraq)||SDF||USA||Open (Aid-Civilians-US military- Journalist)|
|Amouda||Al-Hassaka||Syria-Turkey||Joint Presence (Regime/SDF)||Russia||Closed|
|Ras al-Ayn||Al-Hassaka||Syria-Turkey||SNA (Opposition)||Turkey||Open (Aid- TSK) ()|
|Tall Abyad||Al-Raqqa||Syria-Turkey||SNA (Opposition)||Turkey||Open (Aid- TSK-Journalist)|
|Kobani||Aleppo||Syria-Turkey||Joint Presence (Regime/SDF)||Russia/Iran||Closed|
|Jarabulus||Aleppo||Syria-Turkey||SNA (Opposition)||Turkey||Open (Aid-Civilians- Journalist)|
|Al-Ra’e||Aleppo||Syria-Turkey||SNA (Opposition)||Turkey||Open (Aid-TSK)|
|Bab al-Salma||Aleppo||Syria-Turkey||SNA (Opposition)||Turkey||Open (Aid-Syrian Interim Government)|
|Hemame||Aleppo||Syria-Turkey||SNA (Opposition)||Turkey||Open (Aid)|