Wednesday, 18 December 2019 15:44
Control and Influence Changes After Operation "Peace Spring"
This report examines, in numbers and charts, the developments in the northern region of Syria after the commencement of operation “Peace Spring" by the Turkish military and the Syrian National Army (SNA). The report highlights the following points:
- The current map of control and influence in northern Syria and other provinces that are geographically connected to the north;
- The map of the international and local actors in general, without detailing their influence or the extent of their control;
- Who is controlling the most important resources and infrastructure in the northern region (the most important international roads - International border crossings and their situation).
(Who's/What) controlling the Syrian north region
Map 1: Updated areas of control and influence in the Northern region of Syria – 12 December 2019
| USA | France | Russia | Iran | Turkey | |
| Al-Hassaka | Yes | No | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| Al-Raqqa | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| Aleppo | - | - | Yes | Yes | Yes |
| Idlib | - | - | Yes | Yes | Yes |
Table 1: International direct/indirect presence s in the Northern provinces in Syria – (General look)
| Province Area km2 | Regime Forces | Joint area (Regime & SDF) | SDF | Opposition Forces (SNA) | HTS | |
| Al-Hassaka | 23.334 km² | 4% | 5% | 83% | 8% | - |
| Al-Raqqa | 19.616 km² | 36% | 12% | 42% | 10% | - |
| Aleppo | 18.482 km² | 51% | 11% | 9% | 23% | 6% |
| Idlib | 6.097 km² | 22% | - | - | 33% | 45% |
Table 2: Local forces updated percentage of control in the north provinces in Syria
| M4 Length (Km) | Regime Forces | Joint area (Regime & SDF) | SDF | Opposition Forces (SNA) | HTS | |
| Al-Hassaka | 230 Km | 37% | 5% | 58% | - | - |
| Al-Raqqa | 103 Km | 76% | 24% | - | - | - |
| Aleppo | 195 Km | 22% | 30% | 20% | 17% | 11% |
| Idlib | 73 Km | 14% | - | - | 33% | 57% |
Table 3: Who's controlling M4 road from Iraq (Kurdistan) border to the administrative borders between Idlib and Hama provinces
| Province | Between | Local Forces | International Influence | Crossing situation | |
| Yarubiyah | Al-Hassaka | Syria-Kurdistan (Iraq) | SDF | USA | Open (Aid- US military) |
| Simalka | Al-Hassaka | Syria-Kurdistan (Iraq) | SDF | USA | Open (Aid-Civilians-US military- Journalist) |
| Al-Qamishli | Al-Hassaka | Syria-Turkey | Regime Forces | Russia | Closed |
| Amouda | Al-Hassaka | Syria-Turkey | Joint Presence (Regime/SDF) | Russia | Closed |
| Ras al-Ayn | Al-Hassaka | Syria-Turkey | SNA (Opposition) | Turkey | Open (Aid- TSK) ([1]) |
| Tall Abyad | Al-Raqqa | Syria-Turkey | SNA (Opposition) | Turkey | Open (Aid- TSK-Journalist) |
| Kobani | Aleppo | Syria-Turkey | Joint Presence (Regime/SDF) | Russia/Iran | Closed |
| Jarabulus | Aleppo | Syria-Turkey | SNA (Opposition) | Turkey | Open (Aid-Civilians- Journalist) |
| Al-Ra’e | Aleppo | Syria-Turkey | SNA (Opposition) | Turkey | Open (Aid-TSK) |
| Bab al-Salma | Aleppo | Syria-Turkey | SNA (Opposition) | Turkey | Open (Aid-Syrian Interim Government) |
| Hemame | Aleppo | Syria-Turkey | SNA (Opposition) | Turkey | Open (Aid) |
Table 4: Situation of the international crossing border in the Northern provinces in Syria
Published in
Reports
Tagged under